和讯投顾邓敏青：大盘支撑点在3818附近，压力位在3856附近

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates in October, with a probability exceeding 97%, creating uncertainty about whether the cut will be 25 or 50 basis points [1] - Recent poor economic data from the U.S., including GDP and employment figures, has contributed to the consensus on rate cuts, alongside comments from the new Fed governor indicating a need for flexible policy responses due to trade tensions [1] - The anticipated rate cut is likely to weaken the U.S. dollar, boosting the attractiveness of gold and other precious metals, while also supporting copper and aluminum prices due to inventory declines and demand recovery [1] Group 2 - NVIDIA's recent white paper indicates a shift to an 800V direct current architecture for AI data centers, which could enhance efficiency to over 98.5% and reduce power consumption by 80%, significantly impacting the power system industry [2] - The upcoming earnings reports present opportunities in three areas: semiconductor equipment and materials, high-end manufacturing sectors like military and new energy vehicles, and innovative pharmaceuticals with strong cash flow and growth potential [2] - Caution is advised in the semiconductor sector, as previous gains may lead to a downturn, making it essential to time investments carefully to avoid losses [2] Group 3 - In a volatile market, defensive sectors such as banking and coal, which offer high dividends and low valuations, are recommended for stabilizing investment sentiment [3] - Coal industry remains attractive due to strong cash flow and high dividends, although caution is advised against chasing high prices after recent gains [3] - The market is expected to experience a corrective rebound, with key support and resistance levels identified, indicating a need for patience in investment strategies [3]