Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-20 03:01Core Viewpoint - Fuyao Glass (600660)(03606) has long-term growth potential in automotive glass ASP, with new business developments such as aluminum trim contributing to strong organic growth. The core profit forecast for 2025-2027 remains unchanged, and the "Buy" rating is maintained with a target price of HKD 86, equivalent to 20x FY26 P/E, slightly below the historical average [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q3 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 2.26 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 14.1% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18.6%, aligning with expectations but below the consensus forecast of CNY 2.7 billion [1] - Q3 2025 revenue reached CNY 11.86 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 18.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.7%, continuing steady growth [1] - Q3 2025 gross margin was 37.9%, down 0.9 percentage points year-on-year and 0.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, slightly affected by increased rebates to manufacturers and short-term disruptions from new factory ramp-up [1] - Q3 2025 net margin was 19.1%, down 0.8 percentage points year-on-year and 5.0 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, with the quarter-on-quarter decline influenced by high base effects from exchange gains in the first half of the year [1] Group 2: Growth Drivers - High-value-added products accounted for 52.2% of revenue in the first three quarters, up 4.9 percentage points year-on-year, driving ASP growth of 6.9% [2] - The aluminum trim business generated CNY 0.95 billion in revenue in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 27.7%, with a revenue target of CNY 5.5-6 billion by 2028 [2] - The U.S. factory reported a profit margin of 13.6% in Q3 2025, with expectations for a stable margin of 14.7% for the full year, reflecting ongoing capacity ramp-up and product launches [2] - Cost factors such as soda ash prices are expected to average around CNY 1,500 per ton for the year, with stable natural gas prices and declining shipping costs anticipated [2] Group 3: Management Changes - The company has appointed a new management team, with Mr. Cao De Wang resigning as chairman and Mr. Cao Hui taking over, bringing a wealth of experience and a clear long-term strategy [2]