专访张占斌：未来十年是中国式现代化的关键期、决胜期

Core Viewpoint - The next ten years are critical for China's modernization, with the "15th Five-Year Plan" period being essential for achieving socialist modernization and addressing key strategic tasks [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Growth and Challenges - From 2026 to 2035, China aims to transition from a per capita GDP of $13,000 to the level of a moderately developed country, typically defined as $20,000 to $30,000 [2]. - The average annual GDP growth rate is projected to be between 4.5% and 5.2% during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, with a target of around 5% to maintain a competitive position globally [5][6]. - China faces dual challenges of the "middle-income trap" and the "middle-technology trap," necessitating breakthroughs in development quality to enter the ranks of high-income countries [2][3]. Group 2: Reform and Development Strategy - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for a high-level socialist market economy by 2035, requiring significant reforms in government-market relations and resource allocation [7][8]. - A focus on high-quality development mechanisms is essential, including the integration of digital and real economies, and enhancing the resilience of supply chains [8][9]. Group 3: Technological Innovation - The next decade is seen as a critical period for technological innovation, with a need to overcome reliance on foreign technology and achieve self-sufficiency in key areas such as high-end chips and precision manufacturing [9][10]. - The goal is to shift from a "follower" to a "leader" in technology, with a comprehensive system for independent research and development [9][10]. Group 4: Education and Talent Development - Education, technology, and talent are foundational to China's modernization, requiring integrated reforms to enhance the national innovation system [10]. - The establishment of a new type of national system that combines centralized efforts with market mechanisms is crucial for fostering innovation and talent development [10].