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中国经济顶压前行 前三季度增长5.2%，稳增长政策仍需加力
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-10-20 23:06

Economic Overview - China's GDP growth for the first three quarters of 2023 is 5.2%, which is an acceleration of 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous year and the same period last year respectively [1][10] - The GDP for the first three quarters is 101.5 trillion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.1% in Q3 [1][10] - The economic growth rate in Q3 is 4.8%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from Q2, primarily due to weak domestic demand [1][6] Industrial Performance - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 6.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with a notable recovery in September at 6.5% [4][5] - High-tech manufacturing industries showed strong growth, with added value increasing by 9.6% in the first three quarters, and sectors like integrated circuits and biopharmaceuticals maintaining double-digit growth [4][6] Investment and Consumption - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 0.5% year-on-year, with infrastructure investment growing by 1.1% and real estate investment declining by 13.9% [5][10] - Retail sales of consumer goods grew by 4.5% year-on-year, but the growth rate fell by 0.5 percentage points compared to the first half of the year, with September showing the lowest monthly growth of 3% [5][6] Policy Measures - The government has introduced "two 500 billion" policies to stabilize growth, including 500 billion yuan in new policy financial tools and 500 billion yuan in local government debt limits [2][10] - The new policy financial tools are expected to leverage around 6 trillion yuan in investment, with significant impacts on infrastructure investment growth [10][11] Export Performance - Exports maintained resilience with a growth rate of 7.1% in the first three quarters, while imports decreased by 0.2%, showing a narrowing decline [5][6] - The strong performance in exports is attributed to diversified market strategies and stable supply chains, particularly with ASEAN and other non-US markets [6][11]