马斯克:Grok 5 实现通用人工智能的概率为 10%,且还在上升
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-21 00:26

Core Insights - Elon Musk expresses optimism about the upcoming Grok 5 model from xAI, predicting a 10% chance of achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), with the probability expected to rise [1][3] Group 1: Company Insights - xAI is preparing to launch Grok 5, a large language model that Musk believes could potentially achieve AGI [1][3] - Musk's previous comments on Grok 5 have generated significant attention, as no company has yet realized AGI despite numerous startups working towards this goal [3] - The anticipation surrounding Grok 5 has increased due to Musk's statements, even though the model has not yet been officially released [3] Group 2: Industry Insights - AGI is defined as an AI system capable of matching or exceeding human intelligence in reasoning and cognitive tasks, which could lead to transformative changes across various industries, including robotics and manufacturing [5] - A report from the Center for International Relations and Sustainable Development (CIRSD) suggests that AGI could pave the way for "Artificial Superintelligence" (ASI), which may surpass AGI and the collective intelligence of humanity [5]