TSMC(US:TSM) Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-10-21 01:05Core Viewpoint - TSMC's Q3 2025 revenue reached $33.1 billion, exceeding guidance, with a year-on-year growth of 40.8% and a net profit increase of 39.1% [1][2][3] Industry Summary - The electronic sector is experiencing a moderate recovery, with a focus on structural opportunities in AI computing, AIOT, semiconductor equipment, key components, and rising storage prices [2][6] - Global smartphone shipments in Q3 2025 reached 323 million units, a 2.6% year-on-year increase, driven by high-end models, while China's smartphone shipments declined to 68 million units, down 0.6% year-on-year [1][4][5] Company Performance - TSMC's Q3 2025 revenue was $33.1 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 40.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.1%. The net profit was 452.3 billion NTD, up 39.1% year-on-year [3] - The revenue growth was primarily driven by AI and high-performance computing (HPC) demand, contributing 57% to total revenue, while smartphone, IoT, automotive electronics, and consumer electronics accounted for 30%, 5%, 5%, and 1% respectively [3] - TSMC's revenue guidance for Q4 2025 is between $32.2 billion and $33.4 billion, with a gross margin expected between 59% and 61% [3] Market Dynamics - The global smartphone market is recovering moderately, with high-end innovations and emerging regions driving growth, while the Chinese market faces challenges of weak demand and structural transformation [5][6] - Domestic brands like Xiaomi, Transsion, and Vivo have shown growth in the global smartphone market, while Chinese brands are experiencing varying degrees of decline due to seasonal factors and limited new products [4][5] Investment Recommendations - The industry is advised to focus on companies benefiting from strong domestic and international demand in the AIOT sector, as well as those involved in AI innovation and upstream supply chain domestic substitution [6]