Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-21 02:01Core Viewpoint - Starbucks is in the process of selling a majority stake in its China operations, with Carlyle Group and Boyu Capital as the main bidders, valuing the business at approximately $4 billion, excluding ongoing franchise fees [1][3]. Group 1: Transaction Details - The estimated valuation of Starbucks' China business is around $4 billion, and Starbucks will retain up to 49% of the shares, likely maintaining its position as the largest shareholder in the Chinese market [1][3]. - If the deal is finalized, it may signal a shift from a direct operation model to a franchise model for Starbucks in China, which could be more advantageous in the current market [7][8]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Starbucks has experienced an 8% year-on-year revenue growth in China, reaching $790 million (approximately 5.625 billion RMB) for the latest fiscal quarter, despite facing stiff competition from Luckin Coffee, which reported a 47.1% revenue growth [3][5]. - The competitive landscape is challenging, with Luckin Coffee leveraging a significantly larger store network and aggressive pricing strategies, which have made Starbucks' traditional model of customer experience less appealing [5][8]. Group 3: Strategic Implications - The decision to retain 49% ownership suggests that Starbucks aims to maintain some control over its brand and operations in China while leveraging the expertise of local partners [11]. - The rise of new-style tea drinks and low-cost competitors poses a significant threat to Starbucks, necessitating rapid innovation in product offerings and pricing strategies to remain relevant in the market [8][9][11]. - The potential shift to a franchise model could allow Starbucks to reduce operational risks and costs while expanding its presence in lower-tier cities, but it must also adapt its brand positioning to attract a broader customer base [7][11][13].