3 6 Ke·2025-10-21 02:21Core Insights - The real estate companies have been focusing on core cities for land acquisition, leading to a 12% year-on-year increase in land transfer fees across 300 cities in the first three quarters, despite an 8% decrease in transaction area [1][6][27] - In the third quarter, the land market cooled down as the supply of quality land in core cities slowed, with the average premium rate for residential land dropping to 5.8% and transaction area and transfer fees decreasing by 13% and 10% year-on-year, respectively [1][6][27] - The top 20 cities accounted for 61% of the national residential land transfer fees in the first three quarters, although this proportion decreased by 7 percentage points compared to the first half of the year due to the slowdown in land supply in core cities [1][15] Land Market Trends - The fourth quarter is typically a peak period for land supply, with expectations of increased market supply, but the heat of land auctions will depend on the recovery of new home sales [1][27] - The average premium rate for residential land has shown a downward trend, dropping to 3.8% in September, the lowest monthly level this year [9][27] - The land transfer fees for 300 cities reached 1.86 trillion yuan in the first three quarters, a slight increase of 3.1% year-on-year, while the third quarter saw a decline of 10.4% in transfer fees [6][7] City Concentration and Performance - The land transfer fees in first-tier cities have seen significant growth, with a year-on-year increase of 19.7% in the first three quarters, while second-tier cities also experienced growth, albeit at a lower rate [10][15] - The performance of third and fourth-tier cities remains weak, with both land supply and transaction metrics declining more than in first and second-tier cities [10][12] - The top cities for land transfer fees include Hangzhou, Beijing, and Shanghai, each exceeding 100 billion yuan in fees during the first three quarters [15][18] Corporate Strategies and Acquisitions - The top 100 real estate companies increased their land acquisition amounts by 36.7% year-on-year, with state-owned enterprises being the primary players in the market [18][24] - Companies are advised to focus on core cities and avoid high-priced land to ensure the safety, liquidity, and profitability of new projects [1][27] - Recent trends show companies forming joint ventures to acquire quality land at lower costs, indicating a strategic shift towards consolidating resources [28][29]