红利资产年末“日历效应”有望浮现，大盘成长ETF(159203)今日涨幅超2%，机构：不是风格切换而是风格再平衡

Core Insights - The Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Index increased by 0.22% as of October 21, 2025, with notable gains from stocks like Bosideng (up 6.22%) and China Pacific Insurance (up 3.15%) [3] - The CSI Dividend Index fell by 0.38%, with Wujin Stainless Steel leading gains at 5.51% while Yanzhou Coal Mining led losses at 4.45% [6] - The A-share market opened slightly higher but faced a pullback, with major indices closing up but showing a bearish candlestick pattern [7] Market Performance - The Hang Seng High Dividend ETF (513690) rose by 0.45%, reaching a latest price of 1.11 CNY, with a 1-week cumulative increase of 3.09% [3] - The Dividend ETF (515890) decreased by 0.47%, with a latest price of 1.48 CNY and a 1-week cumulative increase of 1.78% [6] - The Large Cap Growth ETF (159203) surged by 1.94%, with a latest price of 1.31 CNY and a 3-month cumulative increase of 22.32% [6] Economic Data - The actual GDP growth for Q3 2025 was 4.8%, down from 5.2% in the previous quarter, indicating increased internal economic pressure [7] - Retail sales in September grew by 3%, a decrease from 3.4% previously, while fixed asset investment saw a decline of 0.5% year-on-year [9] Investment Trends - There is a noted calendar effect for dividend assets entering Q4, with significant excess returns observed in December, January, and April [8] - The market is currently experiencing a style shift, with a focus on "countermeasures + hedging" themes due to external uncertainties [8] Fund Performance - The latest scale of the Hang Seng High Dividend ETF reached 5.628 billion CNY, marking a one-year high, with a total of 5.134 billion shares outstanding [10] - The fund has seen continuous net inflows over the past week, with a peak single-day net inflow of 49.21 million CNY, totaling 180 million CNY in net inflows [10]