莫迪真的“卖了”普京？特朗普期盼已久的事，印度终于松口了

Core Viewpoint - Trump announced that India has committed to stop purchasing Russian oil, framing it as a significant diplomatic victory, although India's response remains ambiguous [1][3]. Group 1: Diplomatic Pressure and Economic Impact - The U.S. imposed a 25% punitive tariff on India due to its purchase of Russian oil, resulting in a dramatic 20.7% drop in India's exports to the U.S. from $6.86 billion to $5.44 billion in September [3]. - The U.S. strategy involved appointing a trusted ambassador to India and negotiating defense and high-tech cooperation, while simultaneously leveraging high tariffs to compel concessions from India [6]. Group 2: India's Energy Dependency and Economic Considerations - Russia now accounts for 35% of India's oil imports, a significant increase from less than 1% before the Ukraine conflict, making it a critical energy supplier for India [6]. - India's Finance Minister emphasized the importance of national interest and energy security, questioning the rationale behind not purchasing discounted oil, indicating that halting Russian oil imports could lead to soaring domestic costs and potential civil unrest [8]. Group 3: Geopolitical Implications - The U.S. aims to weaken Russia's economic position while expanding its influence in the region by encouraging India and Japan to align with Western interests against Russia [10]. - India's ambiguous stance serves to maintain leverage in negotiations with both the U.S. and Russia, reflecting its pragmatic diplomatic approach [10][12].