美联储下周或降息，港股通科技ETF南方(159269)涨3%

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market has rebounded strongly for two consecutive days, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.7% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 2.7% [1] - The rebound is attributed to the easing of trade tensions and the reduction of panic over U.S. credit issues, leading to a 2.4% increase in the Chinese concept stocks index overnight, with Alibaba and NetEase both rising over 4% [1] - Traders are currently predicting a 99% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, with another cut expected in December [1] Group 2 - The net inflow of southbound funds and ETF investments into Hong Kong stocks has been significant, with over 45 billion HKD flowing in during October, marking a record high of 1.2 trillion HKD net purchases for the year [1] - The Southern Tech ETF (159269) has seen a net inflow of 1.513 billion HKD since July 25, with the lowest management and custody fees in its category at 0.35% [1] - The Southern Innovative Drug ETF (159297) has experienced continuous net subscriptions since its listing on September 22, with a total net inflow of 478 million HKD and a combined management and custody fee of 0.2%, also the lowest among similar products [1] Group 3 - Guoyuan International believes that the biggest external uncertainty facing the market is the U.S.-China rivalry, which affects investor sentiment and causes short-term market fluctuations [2] - Despite short-term volatility, there is a strong possibility that the Hang Seng Index will return to an upward trend, as ongoing negotiations between the two sides keep overall risk levels manageable [2] - The expectation is that once external disturbances decrease, the Hong Kong stock market will present a better entry opportunity, with a quick recovery anticipated after short-term adjustments [2]