大行评级丨小摩:甲骨文加速扩展云端容量大增资本开支及执行风险,评级降至“中性”
OracleOracle(US:ORCL) Ge Long Hui·2025-10-21 07:32

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates that Oracle is rapidly expanding its cloud capacity, investing heavily in next-generation data centers, and deepening partnerships with key AI model developers and computing power seekers [1] Group 1: Cloud Infrastructure Expansion - Oracle's management views AI as a driving force for transformational growth, believing it will revitalize cloud revenue growth, enhance the utilization of its infrastructure assets, and strengthen its competitive positioning against large-scale peers [1] - The newly formed management team has outlined ambitious long-term goals, including achieving $166 billion in cloud infrastructure revenue by 2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of 75% over five years [1] Group 2: Financial Considerations - The strategy involves significant upfront capital expenditures and execution risks, necessitating rigorous financing and balance sheet management to ensure long-term value creation and avoid damaging credit quality [1] - The company has guided that the gross margin for AI products will reach 30% to 40%, alleviating previous concerns regarding profitability [1] Group 3: Rating Adjustment - Despite acknowledging Oracle's potential to achieve its plans, Morgan Stanley downgraded Oracle's rating from "Overweight" to "Neutral" due to the company's substantial capital requirements and limited visibility on its financing strategy [1]