Core Insights - Amazon.com (AMZN) has experienced significant stock declines in the past, with drops exceeding 30% within two months on three separate occasions, leading to substantial market capitalization losses [2] - The company faces various risks, including regulatory actions, competition in e-commerce, and labor unionization efforts [5][6] Financial Performance - Amazon's revenue growth stands at 10.9% for the last twelve months (LTM) and an average of 11.3% over the past three years [6] - The company has a free cash flow margin of approximately 2.0% and an operating margin of 11.4% LTM [6] - The current P/E ratio for Amazon.com stock is 32.6, indicating a higher valuation compared to the S&P [6] Regulatory and Competitive Landscape - Amazon has faced a $2.5 billion FTC penalty and a €746 million EU GDPR fine, with potential new penalties under the EU DMA [5] - Walmart's e-commerce revenue constituted 18% of its total in FY25, while Temu aims for a $41 billion GMV by 2025, although growth rates for Temu and Shein are expected to decline sharply due to quality and ethical concerns [5] Historical Performance During Market Downturns - Amazon's stock has historically suffered significant declines during market downturns, including a nearly 94% drop during the Dot-Com Bubble and a 65% loss during the Global Financial Crisis [7] - More recent events, such as the Inflation Shock in 2022, resulted in a drop of over 56%, indicating vulnerability to market corrections [7] Labor Relations - The Teamsters are advocating for 10,000 Amazon employees in 2024, with increasing demands for $30/hour wages [5] - Amazon has invested $2.1 billion in wage increases in 2024, reflecting its response to labor pressures [5]
What Can Trigger Amazon Stock's Slide?