欧洲天然气：价格微涨，暖冬与需求隐忧并存

Core Insights - European natural gas prices have seen a slight increase as traders weigh weather forecasts against demand concerns [1] - The benchmark futures price is fluctuating around €32 per megawatt-hour, following a nearly 2% decline over the previous two days [1] Weather and Demand Factors - Some meteorological models indicate that temperatures in major natural gas-consuming countries in Northwest Europe may be significantly higher than usual in early November, potentially reducing heating energy demand [1] - This could provide relief to the market, which has been under pressure due to winter reserve usage amid cold waves [1] Renewable Energy Concerns - There are ongoing concerns regarding low renewable energy generation, as shorter daylight hours are expected to increase electricity demand, potentially leading to higher gas consumption for power generation [1] - Consulting firms predict a relatively mild winter for Europe, but forecasters warn that calm and foggy weather could weaken wind energy production, increasing reliance on traditional power generation [1] Market Movements - As of 1:19 PM Amsterdam time, Dutch near-term futures rose by 0.6% to €31.91 per megawatt-hour, with prices having remained in a narrow range for several months [1]