Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-21 14:08Core Viewpoint - UBS has upgraded the rating of Chinese stocks to "attractive" and technology stocks to "most attractive," citing them as the most confident investment targets globally [1][2]. Group 1: Technology Sector Insights - Chinese technology stocks are seen as the most confident investment targets globally, supported by two main factors: clear AI commercialization trends and strong growth prospects from leading tech companies, along with significant progress in domestic chip production [2][3]. - Major Chinese tech companies are expected to increase capital expenditures by 55% by 2025 to meet the surging demand for AI, with AI user penetration in China showing significant growth, reaching 645 million users as of August, a year-on-year increase of over 60% [3][4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The technology sector is entering a multi-year growth cycle driven by technological breakthroughs, strong policy support, and domestic production, with projected earnings growth of 37% by 2026, making it the fastest-growing stock sector globally [4][5]. - Historical analysis indicates that Chinese bull markets are typically driven by liquidity and valuation expansion, with the current market trend following a similar pattern, suggesting a more sustainable and robust upward movement [5][6]. Group 3: Liquidity and Investment Trends - Domestic investors have net bought $50 billion in Hong Kong stocks through the Stock Connect this year, the highest level since the mechanism's launch, indicating strong liquidity in the market [6][7]. - Local institutional investors are likely to shift funds from bonds to stocks due to declining yields on 10-year government bonds, which could support continued market growth [6][7]. Group 4: Policy Support - The macroeconomic environment remains stable, with expectations for targeted policy support rather than large-scale fiscal stimulus, focusing on technology and advanced manufacturing sectors [8][9]. - Upcoming policies are expected to prioritize innovation and high-quality growth, with specific measures aimed at supporting AI commercialization and chip production, reflecting the government's commitment to these sectors [8][9].