Will Alcoa Stock Rise Ahead of Earnings?

Group 1 - Alcoa is expected to report quarterly revenues of approximately $3.1 billion, driven by stronger aluminum prices and increased shipment volumes [2] - Margins may face slight pressure due to high energy costs and input inflation, although cost-control measures could mitigate some of this impact [2] - The recovery in demand from aerospace, automotive, and packaging sectors supports volume expansion, but significant earnings growth will depend on sustained price strength and operational efficiency improvements [2] Group 2 - Alcoa has a current market capitalization of $9.4 billion, with annual revenue of $13 billion, operating profits of $1.6 billion, and a net income of $1.0 billion [3] - Historical earnings data shows that positive one-day returns occurred approximately 37% of the time over the last five years, dropping to 25% over the last three years [5] - The median of positive one-day returns is 2.9%, while the median of negative returns is -5.4% [5]