D.R. Horton(US:DHI) ZACKS·2025-10-21 15:01Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for D.R. Horton (DHI) due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates to influence stock price movements [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - D.R. Horton is expected to report quarterly earnings of $3.29 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 16.1%. Revenues are projected at $9.45 billion, down 5.5% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.31% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for D.R. Horton is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.91%, complicating predictions for an earnings beat [12]. - A positive Earnings ESP is generally a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank [10]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, D.R. Horton exceeded expectations with earnings of $3.36 per share against an anticipated $2.9, achieving a surprise of +15.86% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [14]. Conclusion - D.R. Horton does not currently appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider additional factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of the earnings release [17].