UPS(US:UPS) ZACKS·2025-10-21 15:06Core Viewpoint - United Parcel Service (UPS) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating potential impacts on its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on October 28, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.31, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 25.6%. Revenues are projected to be $20.84 billion, down 6.3% from the previous year [3][2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.63% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for UPS is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.04%. This suggests a bearish outlook from analysts [11]. - UPS currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, UPS was expected to post earnings of $1.56 per share but delivered $1.55, resulting in a surprise of -0.64%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [12][13]. Conclusion - UPS does not appear to be a compelling candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates and rankings. Investors are advised to consider other factors when making decisions regarding this stock ahead of its earnings release [16].