HUAYOU COBALT(SH:603799) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-22 10:29Core Insights - The company reported Q3 2025 earnings that met expectations, with a revenue of 58.94 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 29.6%, and a net profit of 4.216 billion yuan, up 39.6% year-on-year [1] - The nickel segment maintained stable production and overproduction to offset price declines, while rising cobalt prices contributed to profit growth [1] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 21.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.3% - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 1.505 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.5% year-on-year increase and a 3.2% quarter-on-quarter increase [1] Industry Trends - The company is advancing key projects and strengthening its integrated industrial advantages, including new stakes in two laterite nickel mines and a 63% increase in lithium resources from the Arcadia lithium mine [2] - The tightening supply and demand dynamics are driving cobalt prices up, with the Democratic Republic of Congo's new export quotas expected to tighten the market further [2] - The commercial application of solid-state batteries is anticipated to boost demand for ternary batteries, with projections indicating a tight supply-demand situation in the cobalt industry from 2025 to 2027 [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to the significant rise in cobalt prices, the company's profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 20.3% and 54.3%, respectively, to 5.92 billion yuan and 8.33 billion yuan [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.1 for 2025 and 14.3 for 2026, with a target price increase of 72.1% to 74.56 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 19.1% from the current stock price [3]