SIASUN(SZ:300024) Jin Shi Shu Ju·2025-10-22 13:44Financial Performance Expectations - Tesla is expected to report Q3 revenue of $26.4 billion, a 17% increase quarter-over-quarter, driven by a surge in purchases before the expiration of U.S. electric vehicle tax credits [2] - The company delivered 497,099 vehicles in the quarter, a 7.4% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations of 456,000 units [2] - Adjusted earnings per share are projected to be $0.55, a 38% increase from the previous quarter but a 24% decrease year-over-year [3] Business Segments and Revenue Sources - Tesla's automotive revenue is anticipated to be $19.6 billion, including $417 million from regulatory credits, with a projected automotive gross margin of 16.3%, up from 15% in the previous quarter [2] - Revenue from carbon credits has been declining and is expected to continue this trend due to changes in regulations that reduce the incentive for other automakers to purchase credits from Tesla [2] Future Growth and Strategic Focus - Investors are particularly interested in Tesla's future, especially regarding its dominance in the electric vehicle market and CEO Elon Musk's ambitions in robotics and AI [4] - Musk has emphasized that Tesla is more of an AI company than a traditional automaker, with significant growth expected from humanoid robots and autonomous driving technologies [4] - Analysts predict Tesla's market value could rise from $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion by early next year, and potentially reach $3 trillion by the end of 2026, driven by advancements in robotics and autonomous driving [4] Autonomous Driving and Robotics Developments - Tesla aims to achieve commercialized autonomous driving by 2026, with Musk forecasting "millions" of Teslas equipped with autonomous capabilities by the second half of next year [5] - The Cybercab, designed without a steering wheel or pedals, is expected to begin production next year at a price of approximately $30,000 [5] - However, some analysts express skepticism about Musk's ambitious timelines, citing potential legal risks and challenges in rapidly scaling the autonomous taxi service [6] Corporate Governance and Executive Compensation - As Tesla's annual shareholder meeting approaches, discussions around Musk's compensation plan are expected, which includes proposals for stock grants and performance-based incentives potentially worth up to $1 trillion [7] - Analysts anticipate that shareholders will approve Musk's new compensation plan, as his vision is closely tied to Tesla's success, and there are concerns that failure to approve could shift his focus away from Tesla [7] - Over the past year, Tesla's stock has surged over 100%, largely driven by AI expectations and signals of Musk's continued leadership [7][8]