前三季度涉外收支破11.6万亿美元，外汇韧性凸显人民币稳中有进

Core Insights - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange reported a continued surplus in China's bank foreign exchange settlement and sales in September 2025, with a stable foreign exchange market [1][4] - Analysts highlight that the total scale of foreign-related income and expenditure in the first three quarters of 2025 reached a historical high of $11.6 trillion, supporting the trend of RMB appreciation [1][8] Summary by Category Foreign Exchange Settlement and Sales - In September 2025, banks settled 18,809 billion RMB and sold 15,183 billion RMB, with cumulative settlements of 132,747 billion RMB and sales of 128,261 billion RMB from January to September [3] - In USD terms, banks settled 2,647 billion USD and sold 2,136 billion USD in September, with cumulative settlements of 18,533 billion USD and sales of 17,901 billion USD for the first three quarters [3] Cross-Border Payments - In September 2025, banks recorded foreign-related income of 48,409 billion RMB and payments of 48,629 billion RMB, with cumulative income of 420,628 billion RMB and payments of 412,029 billion RMB from January to September [3] - In USD, foreign-related income was 6,812 billion USD and payments were 6,843 billion USD in September, with cumulative income of 58,705 billion USD and payments of 57,508 billion USD for the first three quarters [3] Market Trends and Analysis - The foreign exchange market showed active and balanced cross-border capital flows, with a total of 1.37 trillion USD in cross-border income and expenditure in September, reflecting a 7% month-on-month increase [4] - The surplus in bank foreign exchange settlement was 51 billion USD in September, indicating a balanced supply and demand in the foreign exchange market [5][7] RMB Appreciation Outlook - Analysts expect a trend of RMB appreciation due to the expansion of foreign-related income and expenditure, which alleviates depreciation pressure and enhances the currency's resilience [8][10] - The People's Bank of China is advancing the internationalization of the RMB, with its status in the Special Drawing Rights (SDR) basket being raised, indicating a significant milestone in RMB internationalization [9]