Elon Musk's Tesla disappoints investors despite record sales as profit dented by higher costs, fading credits

Core Insights - Tesla reported record third-quarter revenue of $28.1 billion, exceeding Wall Street estimates of $26.37 billion, driven by high electric vehicle sales as US buyers rushed to secure tax credits before expiration [11] - However, Tesla's profit per share was 50 cents, falling short of analysts' expectations of 55 cents, impacted by rising costs and a decline in income from regulatory credits [12] Financial Performance - Total revenue for the third quarter was $28.1 billion, surpassing analysts' average estimate of $26.37 billion [11] - Profit per share was 50 cents, below the expected 55 cents [12] - Automotive regulatory credits decreased to $417 million from $739 million a year ago and $435 million in the previous quarter [12] - Gross margin was reported at 18%, slightly above the estimate of 17.5%, while automotive gross margin, excluding regulatory credits, was 15.4%, below the average estimate of 15.6% [12] Cost and Expenses - Operating expenses rose by 50%, driven by AI and R&D projects, stock-based compensation, and increased costs per vehicle due to tariffs [13] - The company is facing challenges from tariffs imposed on auto-part imports, which are affecting overall costs [6] Market Dynamics - Demand for Tesla's vehicles is expected to decline without the tax credits that have been crucial for EV sales [4][8] - To address potential demand drops, Tesla introduced lower-cost variants of Model Y and Model 3, reducing prices by approximately $5,000 to $5,500 [8] - Analysts caution that the introduction of cheaper models may squeeze profit margins as cost reductions may not fully offset lower selling prices [9][15] Strategic Outlook - Tesla's valuation of $1.45 trillion reflects investor confidence in CEO Elon Musk's focus on robotics and AI, although vehicle sales remain essential for financial stability [5] - The company is on track to begin volume production of its Cybercab robotaxi, Semi truck, and Megapack 3 battery by 2026 [9] - Tesla's limited rollout of its self-driving "robotaxi" service marks a strategic shift towards self-driving technology, although Wall Street anticipates an 8.5% decline in deliveries in 2025 due to the expiration of tax credits and increased competition [14][16]