Deutsche Bank AG(US:DB) 智通财经网·2025-10-23 01:04Core Viewpoint - The platinum market is experiencing significant price volatility, driven by potential changes in U.S. mineral policies and the risk of tariffs under Section 232, which could lead to soaring platinum prices [1][3]. Group 1: Price Movements - Platinum prices surged by 6.4% to $1,646.03 per ounce, marking the largest intraday increase since 2020 [1]. - In October, platinum spot prices reached a 12-year high, with a 60% increase since May, outperforming gold and silver [1]. - The price difference between platinum spot contracts and futures widened unusually, with a premium of $53.45 per ounce [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - There is a rush for physical platinum, similar to the recent silver market situation, indicating a tightening market [2]. - Dan Ghali from TD Securities noted that the platinum market is becoming "extremely tight," raising concerns about a potential "silver-like" squeeze [2]. - Despite a record export of approximately 140,000 ounces of platinum products from China last month, liquidity in the platinum system is under pressure [2]. Group 3: Policy and Supply Risks - Deutsche Bank highlighted that platinum and palladium are likely candidates for tariff actions due to concentrated supply chains and geopolitical risks [3]. - The overdue report from the U.S. Commerce Secretary will assess the national security implications of key mineral imports, including platinum and palladium [3]. - Potential trade restrictions could exacerbate existing supply tightness in the platinum market, with leasing rates above normal levels and rising operational costs for industrial users [3].