Group 1 - Steel stocks have seen significant declines, with Maanshan Iron & Steel Co. down 3.89% to HKD 2.47, Angang Steel Co. down 3.69% to HKD 2.09, and Chongqing Iron & Steel Co. down 2.9% to HKD 1.34 [1] - According to Minsheng Securities, steel mill profits continue to decline, leading to a slight decrease in pig iron and steel output. The demand side shows that seasonal demand is below expectations, with weak performance in rebar and hot-rolled coil, resulting in inventory accumulation [1] - Currently, steel profits have dropped to a loss of approximately CNY 100 per ton, and market-driven production cuts may occur to alleviate inventory pressure. Long-term capacity regulation remains a key focus [1] Group 2 - Guotai Junan Securities reports that the negative impact of real estate on steel demand has significantly weakened, indicating that demand may gradually reach a bottom [1] - Despite not considering supply policies, the industry has been experiencing prolonged losses, and market-driven supply adjustments are beginning to emerge, suggesting a potential gradual recovery in the steel industry's fundamentals [1] - If supply policies are implemented, the speed of supply contraction may accelerate, leading to a quicker upward trend in the industry [1]
钢铁股跌幅居前 旺季需求不及预期 供给端或将出现市场化减产