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港股异动 | 钢铁股跌幅居前 旺季需求不及预期 供给端或将出现市场化减产
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-23 02:30

Core Viewpoint - Steel stocks are experiencing significant declines, with major companies like Maanshan Iron & Steel, Ansteel, and Chongqing Iron & Steel reporting drops of 3.89%, 3.69%, and 2.9% respectively, indicating a challenging market environment for the steel industry [1] Supply Side Analysis - Steel mill profits continue to decline, leading to a slight decrease in pig iron and steel output; currently, steel profits have fallen to a loss of approximately 100 CNY per ton [1] - Market-driven production cuts may occur due to the pressure on supply, which could alleviate inventory issues in the short term [1] - Long-term capacity regulation remains a key focus for the industry [1] Demand Side Analysis - The negative impact of real estate on steel demand has significantly weakened, suggesting that demand may gradually reach a bottom [1] - Despite high production levels, the demand for rebar and hot-rolled coils is weaker than expected, resulting in inventory accumulation [1] - If supply policies are implemented, the speed of supply contraction may accelerate, leading to a quicker recovery in the industry [1]