特朗普明牌了：美国取消芬太尼税，中国买美国大豆、取消稀土管控

Core Points - The U.S. is focusing on three main issues in the new round of negotiations with China: fentanyl tariffs, soybean exports, and rare earth export controls [2][9] - Trump believes that the U.S. should cancel fentanyl tariffs in exchange for increased soybean purchases from China and the lifting of rare earth export restrictions [2][9] - The trade dispute has significantly impacted U.S. soybean exports, with a reported 25% drop in exports to China due to retaliatory tariffs [3][4] Summary by Category Fentanyl Tariffs - The U.S. imposed additional tariffs on imports from China and Mexico, initially set at 10% and later increased to 20%, targeting the fentanyl supply chain [3] - The U.S. government claims these tariffs are necessary to combat drug smuggling, which costs the U.S. hundreds of billions annually [3] - China has denied responsibility for the fentanyl issue, attributing it to U.S. regulatory problems, but the U.S. continues to hold China accountable [3][12] Soybean Exports - U.S. soybean exports to China have plummeted, with China shifting its purchases to Brazil and Argentina due to the trade dispute [4] - The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported a significant decrease in soybean exports to China in the first seven months of 2025 compared to the previous year [4] - Trump has criticized China for not adhering to commitments and has threatened to impose a 100% tariff on soybeans if purchases do not resume [4][10] Rare Earth Export Controls - China controls a significant portion of the global rare earth supply, with over 80% of medium and heavy rare earths sourced from China [6] - Starting April 2025, China will strengthen its export licensing system, leading to a 15% year-on-year decrease in export volume [6] - The U.S. Department of Defense has reported that these controls could impact the production of military equipment, including the F-35 fighter jet [6][10] Negotiation Dynamics - High-level talks between the U.S. and China have seen proposals for China to purchase an additional $10 billion in soybeans and relax rare earth quotas, while China demands the cancellation of fentanyl tariffs as a gesture of goodwill [7][10] - The U.S. has extended a 90-day tariff suspension to facilitate initial discussions, but tensions remain high as both sides accuse each other of pressure tactics [7][9] - The outcome of these negotiations is uncertain, with both sides holding firm on their positions, and the potential for broader geopolitical implications beyond trade [10][12]