美乌峰会不欢而散，特朗普帮俄军加快进攻，或影响全球能源

Core Viewpoint - The unexpected phone call from Putin during a White House summit shifted the focus from the Ukraine situation, revealing a potential high-level strategic coordination between the US and Russia, which undermines the post-World War II multilateral international order [4][12][16] Group 1: US-Russia Relations - Trump's aggressive stance towards Ukraine, including pressuring Zelensky to accept Russia's ceasefire framework, indicates a significant policy reversal [4][6] - The meeting atmosphere was tense, with Trump dismissing traditional diplomatic decorum and emphasizing Russia's strong economic performance following a lengthy conversation with Putin [6][8] - The proposed ceasefire terms from Russia involve Ukraine relinquishing control of the Donbas region, which reflects a unilateral imposition of humiliating conditions on Ukraine [6][10] Group 2: Ukraine's Position - Zelensky entered the summit with hopes for military support, particularly the provision of Tomahawk missiles, but left disappointed as Trump retracted previous commitments [7][8] - The pressure from Trump to consider Russia's conditions places Ukraine in a politically precarious situation, facing the prospect of compromising with an aggressor [8][12] Group 3: European Allies' Response - European leaders are aware of the deteriorating situation but are adopting a pragmatic approach, initiating secret emergency plans due to deep-seated security anxieties [12][13] - The coordination between the US and Russia is eroding trust within NATO, prompting discussions among European leaders about establishing an independent security framework [12][14] Group 4: Implications for China - The shifting geopolitical landscape poses unprecedented risks for China's energy and raw material transportation, as it is a key player in global supply chains [12][13] - Potential agreements between the US and Russia could lead to a bifurcated international energy market, impacting China's energy import stability and transportation security [13][14] - China is proactively diversifying its energy imports and enhancing its strategic reserves to mitigate risks from potential geopolitical conflicts [13][14]