Core Insights - Quantum computing is at a pivotal point transitioning from "scientific fantasy" to industrial application, driven by breakthroughs in quantum error correction (QEC) technology [3][5][9] - The industry is focusing on two main paths: commercializing specialized quantum machines and developing hybrid quantum-classical algorithms [3][5] - Major players have outlined clear roadmaps for developing logical qubits, with Quantinuum aiming for 100 logical qubits by 2027 and IBM planning to deliver a system with 200 logical qubits by 2029 [7][9] Quantum Computing Development Stages - The current stage of quantum computing is Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ), where quantum computers contain dozens to thousands of physical qubits but are limited by environmental noise [3] - The mid-term goal (around 2030) is to achieve practical quantum computing with error correction, significantly enhancing reliability [5][9] Key Technologies and Players - The six mainstream technology paths in quantum computing include superconducting, trapped ions, photonic, neutral atoms, topological, and spin qubits, each with its own advantages and challenges [34] - Superconducting and trapped ion technologies are currently leading in maturity and commercial viability, with IBM and IonQ being notable players [36][38] Quantum Error Correction - Quantum decoherence is a fundamental physical barrier to practical quantum computing, where qubits lose their quantum state due to environmental interactions [40][41] - Quantum error correction (QEC) aims to mitigate information loss due to decoherence by backing up quantum information across multiple physical qubits [43][44] - Recent advancements in QEC include Microsoft's 4D topological error correction code, which significantly reduces the number of physical qubits needed for error correction [45][46] Major Companies in Quantum Computing - The quantum computing landscape includes pure quantum companies like D-Wave, Rigetti, IonQ, and Quantum Computing, as well as tech giants like IBM, Google, Microsoft, and NVIDIA [48][50] - Notable private companies making strides in quantum computing include PsiQuantum, Quantinuum, and Xanadu, each pursuing different technological paths and commercialization strategies [51]
科技前沿「蓝宝书」:量子计算(上)