缩量调整，耐心等待市场企稳

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market continues to adjust, with major indices experiencing weak fluctuations and significant selling pressure in growth sectors, while the Hong Kong market shows relative resilience supported by energy stocks [1][2] Market Performance - A-share indices opened lower and declined, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3888.08 points, down 0.66%, and the Shenzhen Component Index falling 0.87% to 12883.89 points [2] - The Hong Kong market saw the Hang Seng Index drop slightly by 0.09% to 25757.60 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 0.81% to 5875.23 points, indicating a defensive market characteristic [2] Industry Highlights and Driving Logic - The coal sector experienced a surge, with a 2% increase in the index, driven by winter supply expectations and policies enhancing industry concentration [3] - The oil and gas sector also performed well, supported by rising international oil prices and domestic energy security policies [3] - Shenzhen local stocks surged due to merger and acquisition policies, with a focus on strategic emerging industries like integrated circuits and artificial intelligence [3] - Growth sectors faced significant pressure, particularly in technology, with the CPO concept and storage chip sectors experiencing declines of over 4% [3] Investment Strategy Recommendations - The market is in a "volume contraction and structural rotation" phase, suggesting a focus on quality stocks within the technology growth sector, particularly in AI and quantum technology [4] - Opportunities in cyclical and resource sectors are highlighted, with coal stocks benefiting from supply policies and rising winter demand [4] - The consumer sector is advised to focus on brands benefiting from improving consumption expectations, while state-owned enterprise reform themes remain active [5] Policy-Driven Opportunities - The "new quality productivity" and reform dividends are emphasized, with attention on Shenzhen local tech firms and semiconductor equipment benefiting from merger and acquisition policies [5] - The overall market faces volume shrinkage, limiting the potential for a broad rebound, but structural opportunities in cyclical resources and policy-driven themes are expected to yield excess returns [5]