金荣中国:现货黄金维持较低区间内震荡,目前交投于4082美元附近
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-23 07:27

Fundamental Analysis - Gold prices are currently trading around $4082, struggling to recover from previous declines due to easing international trade tensions and potential peace in the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1] - Gold prices saw a significant drop of nearly 3% to $4004.46 per ounce but rebounded to $4098.29, closing down 0.64% [1] - Year-to-date, gold has appreciated by 57%, driven by geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, and strong ETF inflows, although recent easing of trade tensions has led some investors to take profits [3] - The U.S. government shutdown has lasted 22 days, creating uncertainty in economic data releases and impacting market confidence, indirectly supporting gold prices [3] - The decline in U.S. Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield falling to 3.949%, has also contributed to increased demand for gold as investors seek safe-haven assets [4] - The market anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve next week, with a 97% probability, which typically supports gold prices [4] - Geopolitical uncertainties, particularly regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict and U.S.-China trade relations, continue to bolster gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [5] - The upcoming U.S. CPI data is expected to influence market dynamics significantly [5] Technical Analysis - On the daily chart, gold prices have shown a small entity close, indicating potential for further short-term adjustments, with support expected around the $3900 level [6] - Short-term price movements have seen significant retracement from a high of $4380, with recent attempts to test the $4000 level [6] - Traders are advised to monitor for potential short positions below $4130, with a stop loss of $20 and targets set around $4060 and $3960 [6]