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富达:亚洲股市轻松获利阶段或已结束 对市场前景抱审慎乐观态度
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-23 08:09

Group 1 - The weak dollar environment is beneficial for emerging markets, with average returns in Asian stock markets reaching 30% [1] - There is a noticeable disparity in market returns, with open economies like Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, and South Korea performing better than those with large domestic consumption bases like Indonesia, mainland China, and Thailand [1] - The phase of easily obtainable returns may have ended, leading to a cautious optimism regarding market prospects, necessitating precise selection and investment in promising industries and themes [1] Group 2 - Three key areas for investment opportunities include AI, selective consumption, and improvements in corporate governance in markets like Japan, China, and South Korea [1] - The AI sector is experiencing a flywheel effect, with elements gradually integrating to create compounded value, while the cost of AI is decreasing, leading to increased adoption by businesses and consumers [1] - In the consumption sector, a defensive approach is recommended, focusing on valuation and maintaining a contrarian mindset, as popular sectors like Bubble Mart and electric vehicles raise concerns about high valuations and sustainability of profits [2] Group 3 - Overlooked areas in consumption present attractive opportunities, such as household consumption downgrades, health-focused sportswear, increased mineral water consumption, and some consumers upgrading to premium products like branded beer [2] - An emerging theme is the improvement in corporate governance, which began in Japan and is accelerating in China, with investors increasingly focusing on shareholder returns, dividends, and payout ratios [2] - South Korea's "Value-Up" initiative has also shown significant progress in enhancing corporate governance [2]