美国还有杀招，不给稀土就放金融核弹？新加坡劝告中方：别还手

Core Viewpoint - The trade war between the US and China has escalated beyond simple retaliatory measures, involving core resources and the global financial system, with the US employing high tariffs, technology blockades, and potential financial sanctions to pressure China, while China counters with its rare earth resources [1][12]. Group 1: Tariffs and Economic Impact - The US has threatened to increase tariffs on Chinese goods to 155%, but such threats have become routine and are often met with market indifference, indicating that the real impact may be more political than economic [3]. - The agricultural sector in the US has already suffered losses exceeding $27.5 billion due to tariffs, with American households facing an additional $800 per year in inflation costs [3]. - The potential for further tariff increases could exacerbate these economic pressures, suggesting that the US's aggressive stance may backfire [3]. Group 2: Technology and Manufacturing - The US has restricted exports of aircraft parts to China, aiming to hinder its high-end manufacturing capabilities, but this could also harm US companies like Boeing, which relies heavily on the Chinese market [5]. - China has the option to shift its aircraft orders to domestic manufacturers or European competitors, potentially accelerating its own aviation industry independence [5]. Group 3: Rare Earth Resources - The US and Australia are attempting to develop a rare earth supply chain, but the complexity of processing these materials means that the US is starting from scratch, while China currently dominates the market, supplying 75% of rare earth magnets [5][6]. - Any restrictions on China's rare earth exports could significantly impact US military production, as evidenced by a reduction in F-35 aircraft output [5]. Group 4: Financial Warfare - The term "financial nuclear bomb" has resurfaced, with suggestions that the US could exclude China from the SWIFT financial system, which would have severe repercussions not only for China but also for the US [6][9]. - Historical precedents show that while financial sanctions can be powerful, they often have significant collateral damage, potentially destabilizing the global financial system [6][9]. Group 5: Strategic Responses - Singapore has advised China against a complete decoupling from the US, reflecting concerns about the economic fallout for smaller nations caught in the crossfire [11][12]. - The ongoing trade war has evolved into a strategic contest, where the ability to withstand pressure and maintain stability is crucial for both sides [14][16]. - China's approach focuses on self-reliance in technology, diversifying trade partnerships, and preparing for potential financial isolation, indicating a long-term strategy rather than immediate retaliation [16][17].