Ge Long Hui·2025-10-23 12:29Core Viewpoint - Chinese assets have outperformed globally in 2024, with significant gains in major indices such as the Hang Seng Tech Index and the CSI 300, driven by a resurgence in foreign investment and favorable government policies [1][4][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of October 22, 2024, the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 32.56%, the Hang Seng Index by 28.56%, and the CSI 300 by over 30% within a short period following policy changes [1][7]. - In September 2024, foreign capital inflow into the Chinese stock market reached $4.6 billion, marking a monthly high since November 2023, with a total of $18 billion net inflow from foreign passive funds in the first nine months of 2024 [4][8]. Group 2: Policy Impact - A series of significant policies introduced on September 24, 2024, aimed at stabilizing the market and promoting growth, led to a substantial recovery in market sentiment and capital inflow [7][11]. - The "924 New Policy" has created a complete cycle of policy shift, capital inflow, market rise, and earnings realization in both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [11][27]. Group 3: Sector Performance - The technology sector, particularly in AI and robotics, has shown remarkable growth, with companies like Zhongji Xuchuang reporting a revenue increase of 36.95% and a net profit increase of 69.4% [9][10]. - Major players like Tencent and Alibaba have also reported significant revenue and profit growth, driven by their AI initiatives [10]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - Goldman Sachs predicts a slow bull market for Chinese stocks, with a potential 30% upside for the MSCI China Index over the next two years, driven by earnings growth and valuation re-rating [16]. - Morgan Stanley emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-tech sectors, including AI and automation, as they expect continued improvement in corporate earnings [17][22]. Group 5: Global Investor Sentiment - Global investors are increasingly viewing Chinese assets as essential components of their portfolios, moving from a cautious stance to a more favorable outlook on growth potential [29][30]. - The launch of the Rayliant-ChinaAMC China Technology Innovation ETF (CNQQ) provides a new avenue for global investors to access Chinese tech stocks, reflecting a shift in perception of China's tech industry [4][31]. Group 6: Valuation Metrics - The Hang Seng Tech Index is currently trading at a PE ratio of 22.76, significantly lower than global counterparts like the Nasdaq and S&P 500, indicating potential for further valuation recovery [24][25]. - Despite recent market corrections, the overall sentiment remains optimistic, with expectations of continued capital inflow and performance improvement in the Chinese market [14][18].