21评论丨中国经济成为世界经济抗冲击、稳增长的中流砥柱

Core Viewpoint - The Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China highlighted significant achievements during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, emphasizing China's resilience in the face of global challenges, including the COVID-19 pandemic and rising trade protectionism [2][3][4]. Economic Performance - China's GDP surpassed 110 trillion, 120 trillion, and 130 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a projected GDP of approximately 140 trillion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 23.9% increase from 2020 and an average annual growth rate of 5.5% [3][4]. - In 2025, China's GDP growth is estimated to reach around 5%, with a total economic increment expected to exceed 35 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan [4][5]. International Economic Context - The global economic uncertainty has increased significantly due to U.S. tariff policies and geopolitical conflicts, with the world instability index rising over threefold from the end of 2024 [4]. - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) revised its growth forecasts for China and the global economy, increasing China's growth rate prediction from 4.0% to 4.8% and the global growth rate from 2.8% to 3.2% [5]. Future Goals - The 15th Five-Year Plan aims for high-quality development, significant improvements in technological self-reliance, and enhanced social and economic reforms, with a target of achieving a per capita GDP at the level of moderately developed countries by 2035 [6]. - The plan emphasizes the importance of fostering new productive forces and promoting industrial upgrades to achieve high-quality economic growth [6].