KVB安全吗：市场关注金融稳定性之际，关键CPI报告即将出炉

Core Insights - The focus of Wall Street is on the upcoming September Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due to the impact of the government shutdown, which has led to a lack of key economic data, increasing the potential for market volatility with any deviations from expectations [1][5]. Market Expectations - Analysts expect the September CPI data to show a month-over-month increase of 0.4%, consistent with August's growth, and a year-over-year increase of 3.1%, slightly higher than August [4]. - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, is also anticipated to remain stable with a month-over-month increase of 0.3% and a year-over-year increase of 3.1%, potentially marking the highest level since January [4]. Investor Sentiment - The absence of complete economic data has heightened investor reliance on the CPI report, which is seen as a critical indicator of market sentiment [3]. - Despite the uncertainty caused by the government shutdown, investors remain cautiously optimistic, with major stock indices near historical highs, although geopolitical uncertainties and fluctuating tariff situations continue to be a concern [5]. Federal Reserve Implications - The CPI report is crucial for market reactions and Federal Reserve policy decisions, with expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut in the upcoming meeting unless the CPI data significantly exceeds expectations [6].