山海：黄金关键点不破，再看震荡中的反弹力度！

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of gold and silver markets, emphasizing that gold has not yet stabilized above the critical resistance point of 4150, indicating a lack of a definitive bullish trend despite recent rebounds [2][3]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has shown rebound potential above 4000, but it has not yet broken the 4150 resistance level, which is crucial for confirming a bullish trend [2][3]. - A double top is formed at 4380 and a double bottom at 4000, suggesting that the 4000 level is unlikely to break down, and a bullish trend could emerge if gold stabilizes above 4150 [3]. - The daily chart indicates that gold is above the Bollinger middle band, and there is a high probability of a bullish close today, which could lead to further increases in November [3]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver has also failed to stabilize above the 50 mark, indicating that its recent rebound is not yet a definitive bullish trend [2][5]. - A double top is noted at 54.5 and a double bottom at 47.5, with the latter providing support against significant declines [5]. - The recommendation is to hold previous long positions and monitor the 50 level for potential upward movement [5]. Domestic Gold and Silver Insights - Domestic gold (Shanghai Gold) has seen a successful rise, with the highest point reaching around 955, aligning with the bullish expectations [4]. - The strategy for domestic gold remains to attempt low long positions, with a focus on the potential for upward trends if key resistance levels are broken [4]. - Domestic silver (Shanghai Silver) has shown a rise to 11600, with previous long positions yielding good profits, but caution is advised as a definitive bullish trend has not yet formed [5]. Oil Market Commentary - The article notes that crude oil has shown a rebound, reaching a high of around 62, with expectations for further increases towards 63 [6]. - The recommendation is to adjust positions as necessary, without overestimating the potential for continued upward movement [6].