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下个万亿级市场,中国已抢占先机?
3 6 Ke·2025-10-24 03:37

Core Viewpoint - The flying car industry is on the verge of significant growth, with companies like XPeng Heavens securing large orders and the potential for market entry by 2026, indicating a new era for urban air mobility [3][5][28]. Market Overview - XPeng Heavens received its first batch of 600 flying car orders at the 2025 Dubai GITEX, setting a record for overseas orders in the flying car sector, bringing total orders to over 7,000 globally [3][5]. - The global eVTOL market is projected to reach $12 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 35% [7]. - China's low-altitude economy is expected to exceed 5 trillion yuan in 2024, with eVTOLs as a core component, and is forecasted to reach 1.5 trillion yuan by 2025 and 3.5 trillion yuan by 2035 [7]. Industry Challenges - The flying car industry faces significant challenges, including issues with range, safety, regulatory standards, and infrastructure requirements [15][17][19]. - The high energy consumption of eVTOLs compared to traditional electric vehicles poses a major hurdle, along with the need for advanced safety measures to prevent accidents [15][17]. - The lack of unified airworthiness certification standards globally complicates the regulatory landscape for flying cars [17]. Competitive Landscape - China is positioned to become a leader in the flying car market, with Morgan Stanley predicting that by 2040, the global urban air mobility market could reach $1.5 trillion, with China potentially capturing 30% of that market [23]. - The Chinese market benefits from strong policy support, a dense population, and a robust industrial chain, with many domestic companies, including XPeng, Geely, and BYD, actively developing flying car technologies [25][27]. Technological Advantages - Approximately 70-80% of the supply chain and manufacturing processes for flying cars can leverage existing technologies from the electric vehicle sector, providing a competitive edge for Chinese manufacturers [25]. - The cost of components, such as electric motors, is significantly lower in China compared to overseas prices, enhancing the feasibility of local production [27]. Conclusion - While the flying car industry in China has substantial advantages and potential for growth, it must address existing challenges and build a solid foundation for future development to ensure sustainable progress in this emerging market [28].