拿不到中国购买协议，美国部长不想服软：中国买大豆才是麻烦事？

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming US-China trade negotiations are expected to focus on various issues, with rare earths being a central topic, while US soybean farmers are primarily concerned about soybean orders from China [1][4]. Group 1: Current Situation of US Soybean Farmers - US soybean farmers are facing significant challenges as China has not placed any orders for US soybeans, partly due to China's shift to alternative markets like Brazil and Argentina [3][6]. - The US government, under Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack, has indicated that if China were to place soybean orders, it could create complications, suggesting a complex dynamic in the negotiations [4][6]. - Farmers are increasingly frustrated with reliance on government subsidies, which are seen as a temporary fix rather than a long-term solution to their market access issues [6][10]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Alternatives - The entry of Argentina into the soybean market, particularly with its zero-tariff policy, has complicated US negotiations, as US farmers feel disadvantaged [3][7]. - The US government is actively seeking alternative markets to reduce dependence on China, but efforts to sell soybeans to countries like Japan, India, and the UK have not yielded significant results [9][10]. - The core issue remains that US farmers need access to the Chinese market, as no other market can match China's demand for soybeans [9][10]. Group 3: Government Response and Future Outlook - The US government's approach appears to prioritize reducing reliance on China rather than addressing the immediate needs of soybean farmers, leading to concerns about long-term market opportunities [10][12]. - Farmers are anxious about their unsold soybeans and the lack of effective government action to resolve the situation, highlighting a disconnect between farmer needs and government policy [12].