Fundamental Analysis - The current price of spot silver (XAG/USD) is $48.56 per ounce, with a significant physical shortage in the silver market highlighting overall supply-demand tension in precious metals. COMEX warehouse silver inventories have decreased by 29 million ounces over the past two weeks, while the London market faces a shortfall of 100-150 million ounces, potentially impacting gold prices through arbitrage mechanisms, reinforcing a structural bull market [1][3] - The "physical squeeze" in the silver market, although not directly affecting gold, indicates pressure on the global precious metals delivery system. The upcoming U.S. Section 232 review of silver could classify it as a critical mineral, potentially leading to tariffs or export restrictions, which may indirectly influence gold pricing [3][4] - Geopolitical tensions and the potential U.S. government shutdown could increase uncertainty in the market. The current rebound in gold prices signifies the continuation of a bull market, driven by geopolitical tensions, expectations of Federal Reserve easing, and institutional buying [4][5] Market Trends - The recent geopolitical developments, including sanctions against Russian oil companies, have heightened demand for safe-haven assets like gold. This has led to a rapid recovery in gold prices after a significant drop, indicating that the demand is not merely speculative but driven by central banks diversifying their dollar holdings [4][5] - The European Central Bank has reported that gold now constitutes over 20% of its reserves, marking a structural shift in gold's role from a mere safe-haven asset to a strategic reserve asset [5] Technical Analysis - The silver market is currently experiencing a price consolidation phase, with support around $46.90 and potential long positions near $47.50, targeting a profit range of $51.00 to $52.00 [8]
金荣中国:白银亚盘小幅震荡回落,关注支撑位多单布局方案
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-24 06:23