香港第一金PPLI金评：美市CPI年率即将来袭 迎来现货黄金多空较量

Core Viewpoint - International spot gold has been fluctuating around $4080 per ounce after reaching a historical high, remaining above the $4000 mark, indicating a lack of clear direction in the market [1] Market Analysis - There are no significant negative news impacting gold prices, with ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertainty in the U.S. and Venezuela potentially supporting gold [1] - The market is cautious due to two major upcoming events: the release of the U.S. September CPI data and trade negotiations between Malaysia and another country [2] - The CPI data is expected to show a slight increase, but as long as it does not exceed 3.1%, it is unlikely to affect the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rate cuts [2] - The trade negotiations are anticipated to yield a preliminary agreement, which may limit negative impacts on gold prices [2] Technical Analysis - The Bollinger Bands on the 1-hour chart are narrowing, suggesting a potential change in trend is imminent, with the CPI data expected to guide the market direction [3] - Investors are advised to monitor the CPI data closely, as a significant deviation could lead to a downward adjustment in gold prices below $4000 [3] Trading Strategy - A bullish outlook is suggested above $4070, targeting $4160 and $4215, with a stop loss of $15 [5] - A bearish outlook is suggested below $4070, targeting $4010 and $3945, with a stop loss of $15 [5]