玻璃价格上行空间有限

Core Viewpoint - The glass market is experiencing weak fluctuations in prices, with some regions seeing price declines in the spot market. The market is caught in a stalemate between production cut expectations and weak demand realities, leading to intensified competition [1] Supply Side - The supply side remains relatively stable in production rhythm, but spot prices continue to decline, resulting in continuous inventory accumulation by companies. This breaks the usual post-holiday inventory reduction pattern, becoming a significant factor suppressing prices [1] - There is a need to monitor the actual impact of anti-involution policies on production capacity and the progress of industrial optimization adjustments. A substantial contraction in supply could create opportunities for a temporary price rebound [1] Demand Side - The demand side shows weakness, with deep processing enterprises experiencing a significant year-on-year decline in order days. Additionally, the new construction and completion data in the real estate sector are sluggish, further restricting actual glass consumption [1] - End-user procurement remains cautious and observant, reflecting a lack of confidence in the market despite macro-level expectations of policy benefits and potential demand recovery during peak seasons [1] Market Outlook - In the short term, prices are likely to continue hovering at low levels, awaiting a directional breakthrough. In the medium to long term, the overall upward potential remains constrained by the strength of demand recovery [1]