Booking Holdings Set to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in Store?

Core Insights - Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 28, with revenue expectations of $8.71 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 9.01% and earnings per share estimated at $95.97, indicating a growth of 14.4% from the previous year [1][10] Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $8.71 billion, suggesting a 9.01% increase from the same quarter last year [1] - Earnings per share are projected at $95.97, which is a 14.4% increase year-over-year [1][10] - The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the past four quarters, with an average beat of 19.22% [2] Growth Projections - Room night growth is expected to decelerate to 3.5% to 5.5% in Q3 2025, down from 8% in Q2 due to tougher year-over-year comparisons [3][10] - Gross bookings are anticipated to grow by 8% to 10%, with flight ticket demand contributing approximately two percentage points to this growth [4][10] - Revenue growth guidance for Q3 is set at 7% to 9%, lower than gross bookings growth due to a higher proportion of flight bookings and increased merchandising contra-revenues [5] Profitability and Cost Management - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 is projected to be between $3.9 billion and $4 billion, indicating a growth of 9% at the high end, with margins expected to remain stable compared to the previous year [6] - Marketing leverage is expected to be offset by increased sales and other expenses, including payment costs [6] Regional Performance - Asia is noted as the fastest-growing market for the company, while the United States is the slowest-growing region, with consumers showing shorter booking windows and lengths of stay [7] - Geopolitical events in the Middle East had an estimated 1% impact on global growth in June [7] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on expanding alternative accommodations, growing the Genius loyalty program, and advancing its Connected Trip vision, with transactions growing over 30% year-over-year in Q2 [8] - The Transformation Program is expected to yield approximately $45 million in quarterly savings [8] Foreign Exchange Impact - Foreign exchange headwinds have moderated, with management estimating a positive impact of approximately four percentage points on reported growth rates for Q3 [9]