智利经济未来发展展望

Core Insights - Chile's GDP per capita (PPP) is projected to reach $35,286 in 2025 and $41,860 by 2030 according to IMF data [1] - The country's economic growth has stagnated for nearly a decade, with an average growth rate of only 2%, making it increasingly difficult to catch up with European countries like Portugal and Spain [1] - Chile was once the second highest in per capita GDP in Latin America but was surpassed by Uruguay in 2022, and it is not expected to regain this position before 2030 [1] - Panama is expected to solidify its regional leadership with a projected per capita GDP exceeding $55,000 by 2030 [1] - To catch up with European nations, Chile must address its core issue of insufficient economic growth [1] - Experts suggest that achieving this goal is theoretically possible but requires stringent conditions, including significant structural reforms to raise and stabilize the average growth rate to 4% [1] - The pursuit of this goal is complicated by the fact that Portugal and Spain are also experiencing economic growth, creating a "moving target" scenario for Chile [1] - Any hesitation in policy or delays in internal reforms will further distance Chile from its desired development level [1]