金晟富：10.25黄金横盘震荡拉锯如何破位？下周黄金趋势分析

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the impact of recent economic data, particularly the CPI, on gold prices and market expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate decisions [1][2][3] - The recent CPI data showed a weaker-than-expected inflation rate, with the overall CPI rising only 0.3% month-on-month and 3% year-on-year, both below market expectations [2] - The decline in U.S. Treasury yields, particularly the 10-year yield dropping to 3.966%, reflects market sentiment that the Fed may lower interest rates in the near term, enhancing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold [2][3] Group 2 - Gold prices experienced a rebound after the CPI data release, with prices recovering from a low of approximately $4044 to around $4123.7, although there is a possibility of ending a nine-week upward trend [1][2] - Technical analysis indicates that gold is currently in a corrective phase, with key support at $4000 and resistance at $4160. A break below $4000 could signal a larger adjustment, while a breakout above $4160 could lead to further gains [3][5] - The market anticipates a nearly 99% probability of a rate cut by the Fed during the upcoming meeting on October 29-30, with expectations for further easing in December [2][3]