美国祭出最后绝招?如果中国不提供稀土:美国敢将中国踢出SWIFT？

Group 1 - China has implemented export controls on rare earth elements, citing national security concerns, which are part of a long-term strategy rather than a spontaneous decision [1][3] - The export controls target products with excessive rare earth content, including magnets and technologies, with China controlling 70% of global rare earth mining and 90% of processing [3][9] - The U.S. relies on China for over 70% of its rare earth imports, which are critical for various industries, including electric vehicles and defense [3][9] Group 2 - U.S. officials have criticized China's actions as "power grabs" in the global supply chain, yet they acknowledge the need for reliable supply rather than complete decoupling [5][21] - The U.S. plans to impose a 100% tariff on rare earth imports in response to China's export controls, effective from November 1 [6][28] - China's response to U.S. tariffs emphasizes the legality and necessity of its measures, arguing that the U.S. is applying double standards [8][21] Group 3 - The U.S. is exploring financial measures, including the potential exclusion of China from the SWIFT system, which could significantly disrupt cross-border transactions [12][18] - However, the complexity of the situation makes it challenging for the U.S. to implement such measures without causing global financial instability [16][21] - China's financial institutions are preparing alternative solutions, such as using other currencies for transactions, which could undermine the dollar's dominance [16][23] Group 4 - The U.S. aims to build an independent rare earth supply chain through strategic partnerships, but domestic reserves are minimal, relying heavily on imports from Australia and Canada [24][28] - China's long-term strategy includes the development of its cross-border payment system, CIPS, which operates independently of SWIFT and is gaining traction globally [26][33] - The ongoing U.S.-China competition in rare earths and finance is expected to continue, with both sides maintaining their positions while exploring negotiation opportunities [31][33]