潘石屹、王健林预言应验后，楼市3大走向已清晰，买房卖房需谨慎

Core Viewpoint - The real estate market has shifted from a period of guaranteed profits to one where caution is essential, with predictions of a downward trend in housing prices over the next three years [2][4][10] Group 1: Market Trends - Housing prices are expected to decline gradually until 2027, with a cumulative drop of around 10% anticipated [4][5] - The saturation of housing demand is evident, as many families have already purchased their first or improved homes, leading to a supply surplus [5][6] - The declining birth rate will further reduce the number of potential homebuyers, weakening the upward pressure on prices [5] Group 2: Second-Hand Market Dynamics - The second-hand housing market is likely to experience a "deep freeze," with a significant increase in listings and difficulty in finding buyers [6][7] - The core issue in the second-hand market is the oversupply compared to demand, with many sellers unable to find buyers even at reduced prices [6][7] - The aging of properties will further decrease their attractiveness, leading to potential long-term challenges for sellers [6][7] Group 3: Property Value Differentiation - A pronounced differentiation in property values is expected, with high-rise buildings facing significant depreciation risks, particularly those over 25 or 30 stories [7][8] - In contrast, high-quality properties, such as those in desirable school districts or well-equipped communities, are likely to maintain their value due to their inherent demand and scarcity [8][9] - Buyers are advised to prioritize properties with strong value retention, while owners of high-rise buildings should consider selling to avoid future depreciation [8][9] Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - It is advised to refrain from purchasing property unless driven by essential needs, given the current market uncertainties [9][10] - Owners of high-rise properties should seek to sell as soon as possible to mitigate potential losses from declining values [9][10] - Individuals should focus on maintaining financial stability and prioritize essential living expenses over real estate investments [9][10]