波黑央行下调今年经济增长预期至2%，上调预估通胀至4.1%

Core Insights - The Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina has revised its economic growth forecast for this year down to approximately 2% due to weak domestic and external demand [1] - The inflation forecast has been increased by 0.6 percentage points to 4.1%, aligning with recent short-term inflation estimates [1] Economic Growth - The actual GDP growth rate is expected to be around 2%, which is a downward adjustment from previous forecasts [1] - Key economic sectors such as personal consumption, investment, and trade have been negatively impacted [1] - The main driver of economic growth in the short term is expected to be personal consumption, which is the largest component of the macroeconomic total [1] Inflation - The Central Bank has raised its inflation rate estimate for the year to 4.1% [1] - This adjustment reflects a consistent trend with recent short-term inflation estimates [1] - The Central Bank emphasizes that predictions regarding actual GDP and its components face high uncertainty due to various risks [1]