本周外盘看点丨美联储领衔“央行超级周”，五大明星科技股财报来袭

Market Overview - Global trade dynamics are under scrutiny as international gold prices experience significant fluctuations [1] - US stock markets reached new highs, with the Dow Jones up 2.20%, Nasdaq up 2.31%, and S&P 500 up 1.92% for the week [1] - European indices showed mixed results, with the UK FTSE 100 up 0.70%, Germany's DAX 30 up 0.13%, and France's CAC 40 down 0.01% [1] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a 25 basis point rate cut, lowering the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75% to 4.00% [2] - Recent US inflation data has come in below expectations, contributing to the anticipation of the rate cut [2] - The ongoing US government shutdown is projected to reduce Q4 GDP growth by 0.45 percentage points [2] Upcoming Earnings Reports - Major tech companies, including Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Apple, are set to release their earnings reports [3] - Industrial firms like Caterpillar and Boeing are also expected to impact market sentiment with their financial disclosures [3] Oil and Gold Market Dynamics - International oil prices rebounded significantly, with WTI crude up 7.61% to $61.50 per barrel and Brent crude up 7.59% to $65.94 per barrel [4] - The rebound is attributed to stalled trade negotiations between the US and Canada, as well as sanctions on Russian oil companies [4] - Gold prices ended a nine-week rally, with COMEX gold futures down 0.65% to $4,118.50 per ounce, reflecting profit-taking and easing geopolitical tensions [4][5] Gold Price Trends - Year-to-date, gold prices have surged approximately 55%, with spot gold recently surpassing $4,000 per ounce [5] - Analysts suggest that the rapid increase in gold prices has led to profit-taking among investors, especially amid expectations of easing US-China trade tensions [5] - Despite potential short-term corrections, the overall upward trend in gold prices is expected to remain supported by strong fundamentals [6] European Central Bank Outlook - The European Central Bank is anticipated to maintain current interest rates, with no changes expected in the upcoming policy decision [6] - Analysts indicate that the ECB's stance reflects a cautious approach amid slight inflation increases [6] UK Economic Data Focus - The UK economic data releases for the upcoming week are limited, with key attention on mortgage lending and consumer credit data [7] - Economic activity is expected to remain under pressure due to uncertainties surrounding the upcoming autumn budget [7]