柳工(000528):Q3归母净利润同比-32.5% 塔机减值拖累短期业绩

Core Insights - The company's Q3 net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 32.5% year-on-year, primarily due to significant impairment losses related to tower cranes, impacting short-term performance [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 25.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.7%, and a net profit of 1.46 billion yuan, up 10.4% year-on-year [1] - The company’s overseas business showed strong performance, exceeding annual profit targets, while core domestic businesses like earthmoving machinery maintained steady growth [1] Financial Performance - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 22.3%, down 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 4.9%, down 1.0 percentage point year-on-year [2] - In Q3, the gross profit margin was 22.1%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 1.5%, down 3.5 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company reported credit impairment losses of 610 million yuan for the first three quarters, a significant increase of 104% year-on-year [2] Strategic Planning - The company approved a strategic plan aiming for 60 billion yuan in revenue by 2030, with over 60% from international markets and a net profit margin of no less than 8% [3] - The plan includes a compound annual growth rate of 12% for revenue and 24% for net profit from 2024 to 2030 [3] - Key growth drivers identified are core earthmoving machinery, mining machinery, industrial vehicles, and emerging businesses like agricultural machinery and new technologies [3] Investment Outlook - Due to the impact of tower crane impairments on short-term performance, the company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1.62 billion, 2.34 billion, and 2.79 billion yuan, respectively [4] - The current market capitalization corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 15, 10, and 9 times for the respective years [4]