美俄能源战爆发，印度落井下石，普京忍痛看清“老铁”真面目

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating tensions between the US and Russia, highlighting India's strategic shift in its energy cooperation with Russia in response to US sanctions [1][3]. Group 1: India's Strategic Shift - India's review of its cooperation with Russian oil companies is a reaction to US sanctions on Russia's largest oil firms, indicating a significant change in its foreign policy approach [3]. - The urgency of India's reassessment reflects its desire to align more closely with the US, as energy trade is crucial for Russia's economy and international influence [3][5]. - Historically, India has maintained a strong partnership with Russia, benefiting from favorable oil prices, but the recent US sanctions have prompted a rapid change in India's stance [5][7]. Group 2: Economic Considerations - India's shift towards the US is primarily driven by economic interests, as the US has offered to reduce tariffs, providing relief to Indian companies reliant on the US market [7]. - The promise of unprecedented bilateral trade growth between the US and India adds to the attractiveness of this new alignment for India [7]. Group 3: Russia's Perspective - Despite India's shift, Russia remains optimistic about its relationship with India, emphasizing that one-third of India's oil supply comes from Russia, making it difficult for India to find alternative sources in the short term [9]. - Russia's confidence stems from its strong position in the global energy market and its ability to find new buyers even if India moves closer to the US [11]. Group 4: Risks and Implications - India's decision-making in this geopolitical context is complex, as aligning too closely with the US may lead to a loss of trust from other nations and could be perceived as a lack of diplomatic independence [12]. - The potential risks associated with India's strategic choices highlight the unpredictable nature of international relations, where no decision is without consequences [14].